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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Millwall logo

Luton
2 - 2
Millwall

Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Millwall

Both teams will be stronger squad-wise than they were before the international break with players returning from injury, so the two managers will feel this is a good chance to set the tone for the final eight games. We think that it will be a tight game and predict that it will finish level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawMillwall
53.35%26.52%20.14%
Both teams to score 42.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.46%60.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.35%80.65%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09%22.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32%56.68%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.67%45.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.8%81.2%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 53.34%
    Millwall 20.14%
    Draw 26.5%
Luton TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 15.3%
2-0 @ 11.27%
2-1 @ 8.92%
3-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 4.38%
4-0 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 53.34%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 1.26%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.14%

How you voted: Luton vs Millwall

Luton Town
50.0%
Draw
26.1%
Millwall
23.9%
46
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Luton

Cooper (69')
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Millwall
2-0
Luton
Cranie (45+3' og.), Mahoney (79')
Leonard (38'), Woods (60')

Cranie (66')
Jan 1, 2020 12.45pm
Oct 2, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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