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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Stoke logo

Cardiff
2 - 1
Stoke

Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Baker (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Stoke City

The two sides meet with contrasting levels of confidence, and we back the Bluebirds to continue their improvement. O'Neill will feel that his side need a victory to salvage their season and for him to gain some favour back in Staffordshire, but we expect them to fall just short given their lack of momentum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
34.92%28.44%36.64%
Both teams to score 46.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.13%59.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.86%80.14%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62%32.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11%68.89%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73%31.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37%67.63%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 34.91%
    Stoke City 36.64%
    Draw 28.43%
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.91%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.43%
0-1 @ 11.77%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.64%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Stoke

Cardiff City
64.9%
Draw
24.7%
Stoke City
10.4%
77
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Cardiff
Morrison (25' og.)
Smith (62'), McClean (73')
Glatzel (66'), Morrison (76')
Vaulks (24'), Ojo (90+5')
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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