Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 16, 2021 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby2 - 2Brentford
The Match
Match Report
Substitutes Lee Gregory and Louie Sibley cancelled out a 2-0 half-time deficit.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.05%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Brentford |
| 20.84% | 27% | 52.17% |
| Both teams to score 41.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.56% | 61.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.68% | 81.32% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.91% | 45.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19% | 81.01% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% | 23.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42% | 58% |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 20.84%
Brentford 52.16%
Draw 26.99%
| Derby County | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 8.56% 2-1 @ 4.89% 2-0 @ 3.41% 3-1 @ 1.3% 3-2 @ 0.93% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.84% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 3.51% Other @ 0.48% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 15.4% 0-2 @ 11.05% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-3 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 4.21% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.68% 1-4 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.33% Total : 52.16% |
How you voted: Derby vs Brentford
Derby County
21.2%Draw
8.2%Brentford
70.6%170
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2020 7.45pm
Jul 11, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 43
Derby
1-3
Brentford
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
