Championship | Gameweek 43
Jul 11, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby1 - 3Brentford
The Match
Match Report
Said Benrahma scored twice for Brentford.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Brentford, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Brentford |
| 25.06% | 24.01% | 50.93% |
| Both teams to score 55.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.48% | 46.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.2% | 68.79% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.34% | 32.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.79% | 69.2% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% | 18.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.64% | 49.36% |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 25.06%
Brentford 50.92%
Draw 24.01%
| Derby County | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 6.68% 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 3.74% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.5% Total : 25.06% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 5.97% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-2 @ 8.62% 1-3 @ 5.46% 0-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 2.32% 0-4 @ 2.07% 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.42% Total : 50.92% |
