The Match
Match Report
James Garner had put the visitors ahead in the East Midlands derby at Pride Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Derby County and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 37.35% | 29.76% | 32.88% |
| Both teams to score 42.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.53% | 64.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.49% | 83.51% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% | 33.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.2% | 69.79% |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.78% | 36.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.99% | 73% |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 37.35%
Nottingham Forest 32.88%
Draw 29.75%
| Derby County | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% 2-1 @ 7.43% 2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.35% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.02% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.75% | 0-1 @ 12.2% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 6.2% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.95% Total : 32.88% |
How you voted: Derby vs Nott'm Forest
Derby County
49.3%Draw
28.5%Nottingham Forest
22.2%144
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2020 7.45pm
Jul 4, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 41
Derby
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Nov 9, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 16
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Derby
Feb 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Derby
Form Guide
