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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 26, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Derby
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

FT(HT: 0-1)
Garner (33')

The Match

Match Report

James Garner had put the visitors ahead in the East Midlands derby at Pride Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Derby County and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawNottingham Forest
37.35%29.76%32.88%
Both teams to score 42.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.53%64.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.49%83.51%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81%33.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2%69.79%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78%36.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99%73%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 37.35%
    Nottingham Forest 32.88%
    Draw 29.75%
Derby CountyDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.25%
2-1 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.35%
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 12.02%
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.75%
0-1 @ 12.2%
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 6.2%
1-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 32.88%

How you voted: Derby vs Nott'm Forest

Derby County
49.3%
Draw
28.5%
Nottingham Forest
22.2%
144
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Derby
Taylor (64')
Christie (18'), Arter (90+3')
Waghorn (30')
Jul 4, 2020 12.30pm
Nov 9, 2019 12.30pm
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Derby
Adomah (25'), Lolley (35'), Carvalho (79')

Buchanan (28'), Paterson (49'), Shinnie (79')
Feb 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Derby
Benalouane (2')
Yates (29'), Colback (82')

Wilson (26'), Holmes (29'), Tomori (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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