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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
Swansea logo

Derby
0 - 0
Swansea


Forsyth (45'), Willis (82'), Byrne (89')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawSwansea City
36.59%27.51%35.9%
Both teams to score 49.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.62%56.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.6%77.39%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43%29.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41%65.59%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01%29.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89%66.11%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 36.59%
    Swansea City 35.89%
    Draw 27.5%
Derby CountyDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 7.93%
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 36.59%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 10.67%
1-2 @ 7.84%
0-2 @ 6.43%
1-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 35.89%

How you voted: Derby vs Swansea

Derby County
57.5%
Draw
27.4%
Swansea City
15.1%
73
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Swansea
2-1
Derby
Whittaker (63'), Roberts (66')
Whittaker (62'), Lowe (67')
Lawrence (48')
Byrne (26')
Dec 16, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Derby
2-0
Swansea

Ayew (67')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 2
Derby
0-0
Swansea
Keogh (3'), Lawrence (66')
Grimes (63')
May 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
1-1
Derby
Routledge (66')
Grimes (16'), van der Hoorn (49'), McBurnie (49')
Keogh (21')
Wilson (45'), Huddlestone (76'), Bogle (79'), Bennett (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Luton TownLuton133371521-612
21Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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