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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol City

Birmingham
3 - 0
Bristol City

Trusty (3', 43'), Sanderson (75')
Mejbri (45+1'), Sanderson (52'), Bielik (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Scott (64'), Kadji (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

Bristol City

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Coventry
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Bristol City

 With little splitting the two sides, we see this one finishing as a draw. Bristol City are a threat going forward and will have opportunities, but they have shown defensive frailties and are yet to keep a clean sheet on the road. As such, Birmingham should be good enough to get a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
31.3% (0.112 0.11) 25.72% (0.032 0.03) 42.98% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.94% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)50.01% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)71.99% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (0.028999999999996 0.03)29.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (0.033999999999999 0.03)65.89% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (-0.111 -0.11)23.15% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (-0.163 -0.16)57.02% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 31.3%
    Bristol City 42.97%
    Draw 25.72%
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 31.3%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.97%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bristol City

Birmingham City
48.4%
Draw
35.5%
Bristol City
16.1%
62
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Bristol City
1-2
Birmingham
Scott (48')
Klose (31'), Scott (86')
Chong (2'), Gordon (13')
Gardner (90+3')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Birmingham
3-0
Bristol City
McGree (14'), Hogan (68'), Gardner (77')

Bakinson (82'), Weimann (87')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-3
Bristol City

Sanchez (45+1'), Sunjic (48'), Roberts (90+1')
Palmer (35'), Semenyo (62'), O'Dowda (76')
Wells (49'), Lansbury (66')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Bristol City
0-1
Birmingham
Dean (80')
Colin (59'), Toral (60'), Bela (83')
Feb 7, 2020 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-3
Birmingham
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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