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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol City

Birmingham
3 - 0
Bristol City

Trusty (3', 43'), Sanderson (75')
Mejbri (45+1'), Sanderson (52'), Bielik (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Scott (64'), Kadji (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Coventry
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Bristol City

With little splitting the two sides, we see this one finishing as a draw. Bristol City are a threat going forward and will have opportunities, but they have shown defensive frailties and are yet to keep a clean sheet on the road. As such, Birmingham should be good enough to get a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
31.3% (0.112 0.11) 25.72% (0.032 0.03) 42.98% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.94% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)50.01% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)71.99% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (0.028999999999996 0.03)29.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (0.033999999999999 0.03)65.89% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (-0.111 -0.11)23.15% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (-0.163 -0.16)57.02% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 31.3%
    Bristol City 42.97%
    Draw 25.72%
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 31.3%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.97%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bristol City

Birmingham City
48.4%
Draw
35.5%
Bristol City
16.1%
62
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Bristol City
1-2
Birmingham
Scott (48')
Klose (31'), Scott (86')
Chong (2'), Gordon (13')
Gardner (90+3')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-3
Bristol City

Sanchez (45+1'), Sunjic (48'), Roberts (90+1')
Palmer (35'), Semenyo (62'), O'Dowda (76')
Wells (49'), Lansbury (66')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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