MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:46:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Championship header 2

Championship
Middlesbrough logo
Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Birmingham logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Birmingham

Akpom (23')
McNair (15'), Dijksteel (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bacuna (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Birmingham City

 Middlesbrough have not started the season how they would have liked, but to their credit they have a decent home record and have notched decent home wins against Sunderland and Swansea. However, despite the possibility of a new manager bounce, after recent form we do not think they will have enough to win the game, particularly with Birmingham being on a decent run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham City
61.36% (0.119 0.12) 23.19% (-0.081 -0.08) 15.45% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 42.89% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (0.226 0.23)55.11% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (0.185 0.18)76.36% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (0.12400000000001 0.12)17.61% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (0.21599999999999 0.22)48.2% (-0.217 -0.22)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.06% (0.085000000000001 0.09)47.94% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.81% (0.061999999999998 0.06)83.19% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 61.36%
    Birmingham City 15.45%
    Draw 23.19%
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 14.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 12.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.37% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 61.36%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.44% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 23.19%
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 15.45%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Birmingham

Middlesbrough
44.4%
Draw
35.6%
Birmingham City
20.0%
45
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Birmingham
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pedersen (40'), Hernandez (80')
Pedersen (86')
Connolly (23'), Balogun (62')
Crooks (90')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Middlesbrough
0-2
Birmingham
Roberts (53'), Hogan (56')
Sanderson (19'), Gardner (45+1'), McGree (90+3')
Jan 16, 2021 12.30pm
Middlesbrough
0-1
Birmingham

Dijksteel (83')
Hogan (26')
Toral (15'), Sunjic (71')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
1-4
Middlesbrough
Colin (15')
Assombalonga (27'), Saville (31'), Etheridge (56' og.), Wing (82')
(13')
Jan 21, 2020 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
1-1
Birmingham
Fletcher (81')
Jutkiewicz (27')
Gardner (35')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!