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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Preston North End |
40.93% ( 0.01) | 27.78% ( 0.02) | 31.29% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.65% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.94% ( -0.08) | 58.06% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.26% ( -0.06) | 78.73% ( 0.06) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% ( -0.03) | 27.86% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.53% ( -0.03) | 63.46% ( 0.03) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.06% ( -0.06) | 33.94% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.38% ( -0.07) | 70.62% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.92% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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