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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Bristol City

Preston
1 - 2
Bristol City

Evans (61')
Storey (33')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sykes (6'), Bell (45+3')
James (50'), Wells (63'), Cornick (70'), Scott (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Preston North End 1-2 Bristol City

Both of these teams have been unpredictable all season and it makes it difficult to predict a result with any confidence. That said, we can only back the visitors, who have momentum after outplaying in-form West Brom in the FA Cup last weekend and are performing better on their travels than Preston are at Deepdale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawBristol City
41.29% (-1.15 -1.15) 26.11% (-0.152 -0.15) 32.6% (1.302 1.3)
Both teams to score 53.17% (0.961 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77% (1.02 1.02)51.23% (-1.021 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (0.887 0.89)73.06% (-0.887 -0.89)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (-0.128 -0.13)24.53% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41% (-0.181 -0.18)58.99% (0.182 0.18)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45% (1.39 1.39)29.55% (-1.389 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (1.664 1.66)65.57% (-1.663 -1.66)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 41.28%
    Bristol City 32.6%
    Draw 26.1%
Preston North EndDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 41.28%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.301 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.151 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.191 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.211 0.21)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.14 0.14)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.6%

How you voted: Preston vs Bristol City

Preston North End
36.9%
Draw
23.1%
Bristol City
40.0%
65
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 18, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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