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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 9.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Preston North End |
72.03% ( 0.04) | 18.6% ( -0.02) | 9.37% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 38.7% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.34% ( 0.04) | 50.66% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.43% ( 0.04) | 72.57% ( -0.04) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.27% ( 0.03) | 12.73% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.03% ( 0.05) | 38.97% ( -0.05) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.34% ( -0.01) | 55.66% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.73% ( -0.01) | 88.27% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Preston North End |
2-0 @ 15.05% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 14.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 72.02% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 18.6% | 0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 9.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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