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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Preston North End logo

Burnley
3 - 0
Preston

Tella (15', 55', 58')
Beyer (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McCann (28'), Delap (57'), Lindsay (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Ipswich
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Burnley 3-0 Preston North End

Unless Preston pull off the performance of the current Championship campaign, this should be one-way traffic. Although Burnley were not at their best in midweek, they have generally been relentless at Turf Moor, giving us every confidence that they will prevail with minimal fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 9.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
BurnleyDrawPreston North End
72.03% (0.043000000000006 0.04) 18.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 9.37% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 38.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.34% (0.042000000000002 0.04)50.66% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (0.037000000000003 0.04)72.57% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.27% (0.025000000000006 0.03)12.73% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.03% (0.051000000000002 0.05)38.97% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.34% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)55.66% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)88.27% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 72.02%
    Preston North End 9.37%
    Draw 18.6%
BurnleyDrawPreston North End
2-0 @ 15.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 14.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 10.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 5.33% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 72.02%
1-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 4.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.51% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 9.37%

How you voted: Burnley vs Preston

Burnley
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Preston North End
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 8pm
Sep 1, 2020 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
0-0
Burnley
Jul 23, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
2-3
Burnley
Harrop (22'), Robinson (74')
Lennon (26'), Agyei (72'), McNeil (84')
Jul 25, 2017 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
1-2
Burnley
Maguire (65')
Walters (21'), Vokes (55')
Apr 22, 2016 7.45pm
Preston
0-1
Burnley

Garner (45'), Wright (60'), Robinson (96')
Barton (6')
Marney (43'), Lowton (45'), Gray (73'), Barton (80'), Mee (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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