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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 9.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Preston North End |
72.03% ( 0.04) | 18.6% ( -0.02) | 9.37% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 38.7% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.34% ( 0.04) | 50.66% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.43% ( 0.04) | 72.57% ( -0.04) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.27% ( 0.03) | 12.73% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.03% ( 0.05) | 38.97% ( -0.05) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.34% ( -0.01) | 55.66% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.73% ( -0.01) | 88.27% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Preston North End |
2-0 @ 15.05% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 14.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 72.02% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 18.6% | 0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 9.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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