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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ipswich Town.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Coventry City |
44.03% ( 0.26) | 23.4% ( -0.17) | 32.57% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 62.6% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.06% ( 0.81) | 38.93% ( -0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.75% ( 0.84) | 61.25% ( -0.84) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.93% ( 0.43) | 18.06% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.02% ( 0.73) | 48.98% ( -0.73) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.4% ( 0.34) | 23.6% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.32% ( 0.48) | 57.67% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Coventry City |
2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.76% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 55 |
3 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
4 | Sunderland | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 41 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
12 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 35 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 34 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 32 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
17 | Millwall | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 27 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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