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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Coventry City

Millwall
0 - 3
Coventry


Saville (22'), Wallace (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Godden (30'), Sakamoto (67'), Sheaf (88')
Thomas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-4 Millwall
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 3-1 Coventry City

While Robins would have been grateful for the international break, so would have Edwards after his arrival shortly before the Sheffield Wednesday game. Millwall have the potential to really kick on going forward, and we are backing a home win in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawCoventry City
31.77% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 26.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 42.2% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.89% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)51.11% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.96% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)30.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.16% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)24.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)58.26% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 31.77%
    Coventry City 42.19%
    Draw 26.02%
MillwallDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 31.77%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 42.19%

How you voted: Millwall vs Coventry

Millwall
60.7%
Draw
32.1%
Coventry City
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Millwall
3-2
Coventry
Cooper (36'), Honeyman (53'), Saville (85')
Shackleton (18'), Burey (30'), Afobe (62'), McNamara (68')
McFadzean (2'), Godden (28')
Hamer (37'), Bidwell (64'), McFadzean (82')
Hamer (67')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Coventry
0-1
Millwall

Kane (71')
Bradshaw (79')
Bradshaw (56')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Millwall
1-1
Coventry
Saville (21')
Saville (52'), Wallace (62')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Coventry
6-1
Millwall
Shipley (16'), McFadzean (45'), Hyam (59'), O'Hare (62'), James (67'), Walker (84')
McFadzean (81')
McFadzean (54' og.)
McNamara (6'), Evans (45'), Woods (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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