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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Coventry City |
31.77% ( 0.02) | 26.02% ( 0.01) | 42.2% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.16% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.89% ( -0.01) | 51.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.04% ( -0.01) | 72.96% ( 0.01) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.96% ( 0.01) | 30.04% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.83% ( 0.01) | 66.16% ( -0.01) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.99% ( -0.01) | 24.01% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.73% ( -0.02) | 58.26% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 31.77% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.88% Total : 42.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
10 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 38 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Portsmouth | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 29 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
21 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
22 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 21 |
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