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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Coventry City

Millwall
0 - 3
Coventry


Saville (22'), Wallace (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Godden (30'), Sakamoto (67'), Sheaf (88')
Thomas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-4 Millwall
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 3-1 Coventry City

While Robins would have been grateful for the international break, so would have Edwards after his arrival shortly before the Sheffield Wednesday game. Millwall have the potential to really kick on going forward, and we are backing a home win in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawCoventry City
31.77% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 26.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 42.2% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.89% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)51.11% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.96% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)30.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.16% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)24.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)58.26% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 31.77%
    Coventry City 42.19%
    Draw 26.02%
MillwallDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 31.77%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 42.19%

How you voted: Millwall vs Coventry

Millwall
60.7%
Draw
32.1%
Coventry City
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Millwall
3-2
Coventry
Cooper (36'), Honeyman (53'), Saville (85')
Shackleton (18'), Burey (30'), Afobe (62'), McNamara (68')
McFadzean (2'), Godden (28')
Hamer (37'), Bidwell (64'), McFadzean (82')
Hamer (67')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Coventry
0-1
Millwall

Kane (71')
Bradshaw (79')
Bradshaw (56')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Millwall
1-1
Coventry
Saville (21')
Saville (52'), Wallace (62')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Coventry
6-1
Millwall
Shipley (16'), McFadzean (45'), Hyam (59'), O'Hare (62'), James (67'), Walker (84')
McFadzean (81')
McFadzean (54' og.)
McNamara (6'), Evans (45'), Woods (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland28159440221854
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Bristol City2891183533238
10Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28108104045-538
12Norwich CityNorwich2899104341236
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Portsmouth2778123546-1129
19Stoke CityStoke28610122636-1028
20Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
21Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
22Hull City2868142738-1126
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2849152560-3521


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