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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Coventry City

Millwall
0 - 3
Coventry


Saville (22'), Wallace (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Godden (30'), Sakamoto (67'), Sheaf (88')
Thomas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-4 Millwall
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 3-1 Coventry City

While Robins would have been grateful for the international break, so would have Edwards after his arrival shortly before the Sheffield Wednesday game. Millwall have the potential to really kick on going forward, and we are backing a home win in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawCoventry City
31.77% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 26.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 42.2% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.89% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)51.11% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.96% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)30.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.16% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)24.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)58.26% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 31.77%
    Coventry City 42.19%
    Draw 26.02%
MillwallDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 31.77%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 42.19%

How you voted: Millwall vs Coventry

Millwall
60.7%
Draw
32.1%
Coventry City
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Millwall
3-2
Coventry
Cooper (36'), Honeyman (53'), Saville (85')
Shackleton (18'), Burey (30'), Afobe (62'), McNamara (68')
McFadzean (2'), Godden (28')
Hamer (37'), Bidwell (64'), McFadzean (82')
Hamer (67')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Coventry
0-1
Millwall

Kane (71')
Bradshaw (79')
Bradshaw (56')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Millwall
1-1
Coventry
Saville (21')
Saville (52'), Wallace (62')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Coventry
6-1
Millwall
Shipley (16'), McFadzean (45'), Hyam (59'), O'Hare (62'), James (67'), Walker (84')
McFadzean (81')
McFadzean (54' og.)
McNamara (6'), Evans (45'), Woods (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5Watford168262524126
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
18Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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