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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Swansea logo

Ipswich
3 - 2
Swansea

Taylor (17'), Chaplin (22'), Hirst (53' pen.)
Chaplin (26'), Scarlett (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fulton (7'), Lowe (90+5')
Cullen (26'), Duff (27'), Walsh (86')
Cullen (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Swansea City

With Ipswich enduring their first major blip of the campaign, Swansea will fancy their chances of causing a surprise at Portman Road. However, Ipswich will be motivated to return to winning ways in front of their own supporters, leading us to predict a maximum haul for McKenna's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawSwansea City
44.28% (0.277 0.28) 23.12% (0.153 0.15) 32.6% (-0.431 -0.43)
Both teams to score 63.64% (-0.76500000000001 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.42% (-0.927 -0.93)37.58% (0.927 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.19% (-1.002 -1)59.81% (1.001 1)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58% (-0.261 -0.26)17.42% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.13% (-0.457 -0.46)47.87% (0.45500000000001 0.46)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (-0.68199999999999 -0.68)22.94% (0.682 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29% (-1.014 -1.01)56.71% (1.012 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 44.28%
    Swansea City 32.6%
    Draw 23.12%
Ipswich TownDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.251 0.25)
2-0 @ 6.1% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 44.28%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4% (0.177 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 32.6%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Swansea

Ipswich Town
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Swansea City
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Ipswich
0-1
Swansea

Nsiala (29'), Bree (61')
Routledge (57')
Byers (16'), Fulton (20'), Dyer (90')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
2-3
Ipswich
Donacien (9' og.), Celina (79')
Rodon (88')
Edwards (27'), Van der Hoorn (31' og.), Chalobah (84')
Dozzell (68'), Chalobah (81')
Apr 25, 2011 3pm
Swansea
4-1
Ipswich
Moore (14'), Borini (9', 30'), Sinclair (71' pen.)
Dyer (45')
Healy (20')
Delaney (39'), Norris (84')
Dec 4, 2010 3pm
Ipswich
1-3
Swansea
Townsend (50')
O'Dea (41')
Allen (70'), Beattie (64', 86')
Rangel (60')
Mar 27, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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