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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Swansea logo

Ipswich
3 - 2
Swansea

Taylor (17'), Chaplin (22'), Hirst (53' pen.)
Chaplin (26'), Scarlett (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fulton (7'), Lowe (90+5')
Cullen (26'), Duff (27'), Walsh (86')
Cullen (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Championship

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Swansea City

 With Ipswich enduring their first major blip of the campaign, Swansea will fancy their chances of causing a surprise at Portman Road. However, Ipswich will be motivated to return to winning ways in front of their own supporters, leading us to predict a maximum haul for McKenna's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawSwansea City
44.28% (0.277 0.28) 23.12% (0.153 0.15) 32.6% (-0.431 -0.43)
Both teams to score 63.64% (-0.76500000000001 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.42% (-0.927 -0.93)37.58% (0.927 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.19% (-1.002 -1)59.81% (1.001 1)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58% (-0.261 -0.26)17.42% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.13% (-0.457 -0.46)47.87% (0.45500000000001 0.46)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (-0.68199999999999 -0.68)22.94% (0.682 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29% (-1.014 -1.01)56.71% (1.012 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 44.28%
    Swansea City 32.6%
    Draw 23.12%
Ipswich TownDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.251 0.25)
2-0 @ 6.1% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 44.28%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4% (0.177 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 32.6%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Swansea

Ipswich Town
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Swansea City
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Ipswich
0-1
Swansea

Nsiala (29'), Bree (61')
Routledge (57')
Byers (16'), Fulton (20'), Dyer (90')
> Match Report
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
2-3
Ipswich
Donacien (9' og.), Celina (79')
Rodon (88')
Edwards (27'), Van der Hoorn (31' og.), Chalobah (84')
Dozzell (68'), Chalobah (81')
Apr 25, 2011 3pm
Swansea
4-1
Ipswich
Moore (14'), Borini (9', 30'), Sinclair (71' pen.)
Dyer (45')
Healy (20')
Delaney (39'), Norris (84')
Dec 4, 2010 3pm
Ipswich
1-3
Swansea
Townsend (50')
O'Dea (41')
Allen (70'), Beattie (64', 86')
Rangel (60')
Mar 27, 2010 3pm
Swansea
0-0
Ipswich
Pratley (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds24156344152951
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd24156333141949
3Burnley2413923092148
4Sunderland24128436211544
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2311572721638
6Middlesbrough24107741311037
7Watford2311483331237
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2481242819936
9Swansea CitySwansea249692925433
10Bristol City248973028233
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds249693236-433
12Norwich CityNorwich247984036430
13Millwall237882220229
14Preston North EndPreston2461172630-429
15Coventry CityCoventry2477103234-228
16Derby CountyDerby2476112930-127
17Queens Park RangersQPR2451182432-826
18Stoke CityStoke2467112432-825
19Luton TownLuton2474132641-1525
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2366112639-1324
21Hull City2457122232-1022
22Cardiff CityCardiff2356122338-1521
23Portsmouth2248102640-1420
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2346132251-2918
> Championship Full Table


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