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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Sunderland

Ipswich
2 - 1
Sunderland

Jackson (33'), Chaplin (75')
Clarke (24'), Taylor (52'), Edmundson (54'), Burns (60'), Sarmiento (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke (26')
Ba (55'), Hume (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Sunderland

Sunderland showed against Newcastle that they are far from the finished article under Beale and this is a fixture that they could probably do without after such a humbling. Despite Ipswich's recent form, the home side could have enough about them to get over the line in this one, kick-starting their promotion bid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawSunderland
43.17% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06) 23.69% (-0.035 -0.04) 33.14% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Both teams to score 61.74% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.84% (0.211 0.21)40.16% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.47% (0.217 0.22)62.52% (-0.21 -0.21)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (0.064999999999998 0.06)18.92% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (0.102 0.1)50.42% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.158 0.16)23.86% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (0.222 0.22)58.04% (-0.217 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 43.17%
    Sunderland 33.14%
    Draw 23.68%
Ipswich TownDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 43.17%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.14%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Sunderland

Ipswich Town
69.6%
Draw
10.9%
Sunderland
19.6%
46
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 1
Sunderland
1-2
Ipswich
Neill (86')
Mowbray (0'), Hume (32'), Ballard (80')
Hume (72')
Broadhead (45+1'), Hirst (53')
McKenna (33'), Burns (35'), Hladky (56'), Morsy (62')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Ipswich
1-1
Sunderland
Norwood (45+1')
Burns (68')
Broadhead (50')
Winchester (52'), Flanagan (60'), Stewart (62')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Sunderland
2-0
Ipswich
O'Nien (85'), McGeady (90+3' pen.)
Evans (20'), Gooch (34'), Stewart (64'), Winchester (81')

Celina (55')
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Ipswich
0-1
Sunderland

Ward (70'), Dozzell (82')
Jackson (10')
Wyke (45+1')
Winchester (40')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 11
Sunderland
2-1
Ipswich
Wyke (8'), Leadbitter (84' pen.)
Leadbitter (78'), Hume (82')
Lankester (38')
McGuinness (84')
Dozzell (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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