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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Ipswich logo

Leeds
4 - 0
Ipswich

Struijk (8'), Davis (25' og.), Summerville (45' pen.), Piroe (52')
James (34')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Clarke (29'), Tuanzebe (60'), Broadhead (65'), Ball (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, December 16 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-2 Ipswich Town

We certainly anticipate a tight and high-quality encounter at Elland Road on Saturday between two of the Championship's standout sides and cannot quite pick a winner. Given the 10-point gap between them, it is Leeds who really require a victory, but Kieran McKenna's men should have what it takes to leave with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawIpswich Town
50.44% (-0.196 -0.2) 22.86% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 26.7% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 60.56% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.07% (0.11 0.11)39.93% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.7% (0.113 0.11)62.29% (-0.119 -0.12)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)16.01% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65% (-0.052 -0.05)45.34% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.19 0.19)27.89% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (0.244 0.24)63.5% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 50.44%
    Ipswich Town 26.7%
    Draw 22.86%
Leeds UnitedDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.44%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 26.7%

How you voted: Leeds vs Ipswich

Leeds United
55.6%
Draw
15.9%
Ipswich Town
28.6%
63
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Ipswich
3-4
Leeds
Rodon (7' og.), Broadhead (45+7'), Chaplin (90+7')
Morsy (45+5'), Luongo (56'), Woolfenden (87')
Rutter (10'), Gnonto (14'), Piroe (19'), Sinisterra (75')
Shackleton (52'), Meslier (59'), Ayling (71')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Ipswich
3-2
Leeds
Downes (30'), Dozzell (47'), Quaner (90')
Jackson (75'), Nsiala (84')
Chambers (79')
Klich (45'), Dallas (76')
Casilla (28')
Oct 24, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Leeds
2-0
Ipswich
Roofe (22'), Cooper (66')
Berardi (15')

Nolan (5'), Downes (31'), Knudsen (50')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Ipswich
1-0
Leeds
Celina (67')
Connolly (55'), Iorfa (60')

Jansson (80'), Phillips (87')
O'Kane (37')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Leeds
3-2
Ipswich
Lasogga (13'), Phillips (32'), Bialkowski (67' og.)
Cooper (72')
McGoldrick (30'), Garner (71')
Spence (3'), Knudsen (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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