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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Sunderland

Rotherham
1 - 1
Sunderland

Clucas (48')
Nombe (65'), Cafu (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clarke (73')
Bellingham (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-0 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 0-1 Sunderland

Rotherham rode their luck and then some against Middlesbrough, although credit where credit is due to the Millers' defensive diligence, and Sunderland did not exactly blow Hull away either. Another cruel injury blow to Dack was not on the Black Cats' bingo card either, and a goal-laden affair should be the last thing on the menu at the New York Stadium, but we still expect Beale to march to his second successive win and give Rotherham a harsh reality check. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 62.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawSunderland
16.71% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 21.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 62.14% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.6% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)44.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.9% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)40.09% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)76.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.75% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)41.25% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 16.71%
    Sunderland 62.14%
    Draw 21.14%
Rotherham UnitedDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 5.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 16.71%
1-1 @ 10.03%
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.14%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 7.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 6.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.53% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 3.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.48%
0-5 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 62.14%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Sunderland

Rotherham United
15.2%
Draw
12.1%
Sunderland
72.7%
33
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Sunderland
2-1
Rotherham
Bellingham (22', 52')
Cirkin (10'), Bellingham (69')
Odofin (20')
Bramall (33')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Sunderland
3-0
Rotherham
Stewart (52', 65'), Clarke (70')
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Sunderland
1-1
Rotherham
Ihiekwe (88' og.)
Matete (8')
Ihiekwe (17')
Rathbone (76')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Rotherham
5-1
Sunderland
Smith (10', 73'), Ladapo (41', 88'), Ihiekwe (53')
Smith (71')
Stewart (24')
O'Nien (38'), McGeady (46'), Evans (64')
McGeady (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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