MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 02:00:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Swansea logo

Plymouth
1 - 3
Swansea

Cundle (18')
Whittaker (55'), Kesler (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yates (56'), Cooper (68'), Key (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Millwall
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Swansea City

 Plymouth have been very inconsistent over the past few weeks but generally put on a good show for their home faithful in Devon, and we are expecting the same on Saturday. Swansea are beginning to find their stride after a worrying start, and we believe Duff's side will be good enough for a point this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSwansea City
30.73% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 23.25% (0.061 0.06) 46.01% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 62.2% (-0.171 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.92% (-0.247 -0.25)39.07% (0.243 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.6% (-0.258 -0.26)61.39% (0.255 0.25)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)24.75% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)59.32% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)17.33% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.29% (-0.273 -0.27)47.7% (0.269 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 30.73%
    Swansea City 46.01%
    Draw 23.24%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.99% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.18% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.73%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.049 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.59% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.75% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 46.01%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Swansea

Plymouth Argyle
36.7%
Draw
36.7%
Swansea City
26.7%
30
Head to Head
Jul 12, 2022 7.30pm
Club Friendlies
Plymouth
1-1
Swansea
Hardie (89')
Piroe (6')
> Preview
Aug 24, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Swansea
4-1
Plymouth
Williams (29'), Whittaker (79', 86', 90')
Manning (39'), Bennett (51')
Shirley (63')
> Match Report
Jul 20, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
1-2
Swansea
Hardie (47')
Whittaker (23'), Naughton (32')
> Preview
Jul 27, 2014 5pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-4
Swansea
Donnelly (9'), Amat (69'), Sigurdsson (72', 90')
> Match Report
Feb 16, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Swansea
Johnson (87')
Pratley (46')
Monk (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds24156344152951
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd24156333141949
3Burnley2413923092148
4Sunderland24128436211544
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2311572721638
6Middlesbrough24107741311037
7Watford2311483331237
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2481242819936
9Swansea CitySwansea249692925433
10Bristol City248973028233
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds249693236-433
12Norwich CityNorwich247984036430
13Millwall237882220229
14Preston North EndPreston2461172630-429
15Coventry CityCoventry2477103234-228
16Derby CountyDerby2476112930-127
17Queens Park RangersQPR2451182432-826
18Stoke CityStoke2467112432-825
19Luton TownLuton2474132641-1525
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2366112639-1324
21Hull City2457122232-1022
22Cardiff CityCardiff2356122338-1521
23Portsmouth2248102640-1420
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2346132251-2918
> Championship Full Table


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