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Championship header 2

Championship
Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Swansea logo

Plymouth
1 - 3
Swansea

Cundle (18')
Whittaker (55'), Kesler (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yates (56'), Cooper (68'), Key (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Millwall
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Swansea City

 Plymouth have been very inconsistent over the past few weeks but generally put on a good show for their home faithful in Devon, and we are expecting the same on Saturday. Swansea are beginning to find their stride after a worrying start, and we believe Duff's side will be good enough for a point this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSwansea City
30.73% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 23.25% (0.061 0.06) 46.01% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 62.2% (-0.171 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.92% (-0.247 -0.25)39.07% (0.243 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.6% (-0.258 -0.26)61.39% (0.255 0.25)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)24.75% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)59.32% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)17.33% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.29% (-0.273 -0.27)47.7% (0.269 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 30.73%
    Swansea City 46.01%
    Draw 23.24%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.99% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.18% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.73%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.049 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.59% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.75% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 46.01%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Swansea

Plymouth Argyle
36.7%
Draw
36.7%
Swansea City
26.7%
30
Head to Head
Jul 12, 2022 7.30pm
Club Friendlies
Plymouth
1-1
Swansea
Hardie (89')
Piroe (6')
> Preview
Aug 24, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Swansea
4-1
Plymouth
Williams (29'), Whittaker (79', 86', 90')
Manning (39'), Bennett (51')
Shirley (63')
> Match Report
Jul 20, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
1-2
Swansea
Hardie (47')
Whittaker (23'), Naughton (32')
> Preview
Jul 27, 2014 5pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-4
Swansea
Donnelly (9'), Amat (69'), Sigurdsson (72', 90')
> Match Report
Feb 16, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Swansea
Johnson (87')
Pratley (46')
Monk (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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