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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Huddersfield Town had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Huddersfield Town win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Huddersfield Town |
59.75% ( 0.15) | 22.38% ( -0.07) | 17.87% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 49.99% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.83% ( 0.13) | 48.17% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.67% ( 0.12) | 70.33% ( -0.12) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.27% ( 0.1) | 15.73% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.17% ( 0.18) | 44.83% ( -0.18) |
Huddersfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.32% ( -0.02) | 40.68% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.73% ( -0.03) | 77.27% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Huddersfield Town |
1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 59.73% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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