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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Burnley logo

Luton
1 - 4
Burnley

Chong (55')
Nelson (51'), Chong (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Brownhill (6'), Odobert (37'), O'Shea (72'), Vitinho (80')
Trafford (43'), Pires (59'), Cullen (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Burnley
Sunday, August 4 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Luton Town 1-2 Burnley

Burnley can continue a fine record against Luton in their Championship opener, as their hosts are injury-hit and have been slow to find new recruits; the Clarets, meanwhile, have a deep squad from which to choose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBurnley
44.72% (0.63200000000001 0.63) 24.12% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 31.16% (-0.652 -0.65)
Both teams to score 59.32% (-0.39 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.04% (-0.374 -0.37)42.95% (0.374 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.64% (-0.372 -0.37)65.35% (0.372 0.37)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.117 0.12)19.4% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (0.194 0.19)51.21% (-0.192 -0.19)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)26.4% (0.591 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-0.794 -0.79)61.56% (0.794 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 44.72%
    Burnley 31.16%
    Draw 24.11%
Luton TownDrawBurnley
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.4% (0.169 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.163 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.77% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 44.72%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 31.16%

How you voted: Luton vs Burnley

Luton Town
32.2%
Draw
17.0%
Burnley
50.8%
264
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Amdouni (36')
Trafford (90+3')
Morris (90+2')
Oct 3, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Luton
1-2
Burnley
Adebayo (84')
Brown (36'), Burke (59'), Nakamba (90+3'), Chong (90+2')
Foster (45+2'), Bruun Larsen (85')
Roberts (66'), Taylor (90+4')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Luton
0-1
Burnley
Barnes (78' pen.)
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Brownhill (50')
Barnes (89'), Roberts (90+4')
Potts (5')
Morris (66')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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