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Luton Town
Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Fulham logo

Luton
2 - 4
Fulham

Morris (45+1' pen.), Doughty (55')
Sambi Lokonga (34'), Clark (48'), Doughty (59'), Morris (73'), Johnson (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Traore (43'), Jimenez (45+3', 49'), Wilson (68')
Reed (22'), Robinson (54'), Traore (73'), Cairney (88')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town are officially relegated from the Premier League after losing 4-2 against Fulham at Kenilworth Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Luton
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-4 Man City
Saturday, May 11 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 47%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawFulham
30.55% (1.153 1.15) 22.46% (0.459 0.46) 47% (-1.615 -1.62)
Both teams to score 65.05% (-0.964 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.71% (-1.575 -1.58)35.29% (1.574 1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.69% (-1.769 -1.77)57.31% (1.768 1.77)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)23.01% (0.093999999999998 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (-0.14 -0.14)56.82% (0.139 0.14)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49% (-1.145 -1.15)15.51% (1.143 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.58% (-2.175 -2.18)44.42% (2.173 2.17)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 30.55%
    Fulham 47%
    Draw 22.46%
Luton TownDrawFulham
2-1 @ 7.18% (0.245 0.25)
1-0 @ 5.24% (0.393 0.39)
2-0 @ 3.85% (0.278 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.111 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.132 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 30.55%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.361 0.36)
2-2 @ 6.69% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.57% (0.276 0.28)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.264 0.26)
0-2 @ 6.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 5.66% (-0.248 -0.25)
2-3 @ 4.16% (-0.195 -0.19)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.64% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-4 @ 1.94% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 47%

How you voted: Luton vs Fulham

Luton Town
30.5%
Draw
33.8%
Fulham
35.8%
151
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Fulham
1-0
Luton
Vinicius (65')
Castagne (40'), Diop (44')

Chong (27'), Kaminski (37')
May 2, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 45
Fulham
7-0
Luton
Cairney (29'), Tete (39'), Carvalho (54'), Mitrovic (62', 90+2'), Reid (65'), Michael Seri (79')
Wilson (83'), Mitrovic (90+3')

Hylton (11'), Lockyer (27'), Snodgrass (35'), Lansbury (37'), Potts (51'), Muskwe (85')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Luton
1-1
Fulham
Adebayo (62')
Campbell (42')
Mitrovic (19')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Luton
3-3
Fulham
LuaLua (5'), Collins (28'), Cornick (84')
Reid (9', 94'), Mitrovic (77')
Oct 23, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Fulham
3-2
Luton
Mitrovic (16', 53', 67')
Cairney (73')
Potts (60'), LuaLua (92')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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