Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 4, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley1 - 4Newcastle
The Match
Match Report
Burnley are left five points from Premier League safety courtesy of a 4-1 home defeat to Newcastle United on Saturday afternoon.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 5-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.66%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Newcastle United |
36.34% ( -0.02) | 23.36% ( -0.07) | 40.3% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 63.82% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
