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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Sunderland

Luton
1 - 1
Sunderland

Morris (45+2')
Doughty (23'), Bell (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Embleton (78')
Evans (24'), Cirkin (63'), Clarke (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 4-0 Luton
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-2 Sunderland

Luton will be desperate to bounce back after a heavy loss at Watford that ended an impressive eight-game unbeaten run in the Championship when Sunderland visit on Saturday afternoon. Both sides have attacking talent to trouble defences and both have been letting in plenty of goals of late, so we are anticipating an exciting encounter at Kenilworth Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSunderland
47.47% (-0.128 -0.13) 26.01% (0.038 0.04) 26.52% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.14% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)53.58% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)75.08% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)22.57% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-0.13999999999999 -0.14)56.16% (0.143 0.14)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (0.032000000000011 0.03)35.25% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28% (0.032999999999998 0.03)72% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 47.47%
    Sunderland 26.52%
    Draw 26%
Luton TownDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 47.47%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 26.52%

How you voted: Luton vs Sunderland

Luton Town
50.0%
Draw
38.2%
Sunderland
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Maguire (16')
Flanagan (45'), James (75')
Maguire (90')
Collins (67' pen.)
Lee (45'), Shinnie (62'), Collins (80'), McCormack (90')
Hylton (70')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Pearson (68')
McCormack (56'), Grant (60')
Maja (45')
Matthews (20'), Baldwin (61'), Loovens (90')
May 6, 2007 3pm
Luton
0-5
Sunderland

Coyne (43'), Idrizaj (45'), Keane (85'), Brkovic (89')
Murphy (6', 46'), Stokes (4')
Stokes (26'), Evans (55'), Collins (81')
Dec 9, 2006 3pm
Sunderland
2-1
Luton
Connolly (53'), Murphy (9')
Morgan (5')
Brkovic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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