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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 15.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Blackpool |
62.41% ( -0.26) | 21.92% ( -0.25) | 15.67% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 46.91% ( 1.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.08% ( 1.89) | 49.92% ( -1.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.09% ( 1.66) | 71.91% ( -1.66) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.55% ( 0.55) | 15.44% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.71% ( 1.02) | 44.29% ( -1.02) |
Blackpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.48% ( 1.85) | 44.52% ( -1.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.45% ( 1.46) | 80.54% ( -1.46) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Blackpool |
1-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.75) 2-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.2) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.1% Total : 62.4% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.54) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.92% | 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.45% Total : 15.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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