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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Millwall logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Millwall

Forss (54')
Crooks (45+2'), Howson (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Long (39'), Wallace (47'), Saville (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Millwall

Given the size of their defeat in the FA Cup, we do not expect Boro to be the same side that had regularly impressed before that defeat. Nevertheless, the home side should still possess that extra bit of quality in the final third to get over the line in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
48.67% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 25.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.7% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 50.59% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)52.65% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7% (-0.02 -0.02)74.3% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)21.65% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)54.77% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)35.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.8% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)72.19% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.67%
    Millwall 25.7%
    Draw 25.62%
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.73%
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.98%
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 48.67%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 25.7%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Millwall

Middlesbrough
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Millwall
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Middlesbrough
1-1
Millwall
Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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