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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
QPR logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
QPR

Akpom (64', 77'), McGree (90+2')
Akpom (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chair (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-3 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-3 Sunderland
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

As we have learned in the Championship over years gone by, anything can happen, and it would be naive to completely rule out QPR. However, these two clubs are clearly on different trajectories right now, and we can only back another convincing victory for Boro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
57.9% (0.050000000000004 0.05) 23.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 18.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.8% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)51.75% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.02 -0.02)73.52% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)17.63% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02)48.24% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.04% (-0.061 -0.06)41.96% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.6% (-0.052 -0.05)78.4% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 57.9%
    Queens Park Rangers 18.58%
    Draw 23.52%
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 12.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6%
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 57.9%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 18.58%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs QPR

Middlesbrough
92.9%
Draw
3.6%
Queens Park Rangers
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
QPR
3-2
Middlesbrough
Willock (13'), Dunne (27'), Dykes (38')
Johansen (77'), Kakay (90+1')
Crooks (41'), Forss (56')
Forss (17'), Bola (73')
Lenihan (90+2')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
QPR
2-2
Middlesbrough
Chair (29'), Willock (46')
Fry (45+2'), Adomah (60' og.)
Howson (84')
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
2-3
QPR
Ikpeazu (7' pen.), Crooks (72')
Jones (54'), Payero (90+7')
Howson (48' og.), Dykes (56'), Willock (76')
Odubajo (38'), Odubajo (50'), Johansen (90+2')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Middlesbrough
1-2
QPR
Bolasie (28')
Dickie (15'), Wallace (18')
Kakay (31')
Dieng (58')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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