MX23RW : Wednesday, January 15 00:10:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 21, 2022 at 12pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Bristol City
2 - 0
Cardiff

Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Cardiff City

We anticipate a tense affair at Ashton Gate on Sunday, with limited chances as both sides aim to avoid a derby-day defeat. Bristol City will have more confidence after breaking their winless run last time out, but they face a tough test against a Cardiff side who have enjoyed a positive start, and we anticipate a share of the spoils as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
41.8% (2.197 2.2) 26.75% (0.323 0.32) 31.45% (-2.519 -2.52)
Both teams to score 50.76% (-1.755 -1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86% (-1.908 -1.91)54.14% (1.91 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (-1.62 -1.62)75.56% (1.622 1.62)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (0.294 0.29)25.57% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.56% (0.40000000000001 0.4)60.44% (-0.399 -0.4)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.2% (-2.637 -2.64)31.8% (2.639 2.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77% (-3.133 -3.13)68.24% (3.135 3.14)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 41.8%
    Cardiff City 31.45%
    Draw 26.75%
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.09% (0.89 0.89)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.56% (0.665 0.67)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.328 0.33)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 41.8%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.589 0.59)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.274 -0.27)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.467 -0.47)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.39 -0.39)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.402 -0.4)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.314 -0.31)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.256 -0.26)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.45%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Cardiff

Bristol City
60.5%
Draw
15.8%
Cardiff City
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
0-2
Cardiff

Lansbury (45+8'), Mawson (45+11'), Hunt (71')
Nelson (18'), Moore (25')
Phillips (75'), Nelson (90+2')
Nov 6, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!