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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Coventry City

Millwall
3 - 2
Coventry

Cooper (36'), Honeyman (53'), Saville (85')
Shackleton (18'), Burey (30'), Afobe (62'), McNamara (68')
FT(HT: 1-2)
McFadzean (2'), Godden (28')
Hamer (37'), Bidwell (64'), McFadzean (82')
Hamer (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Millwall 2-1 Coventry City

Given their respective schedules over the past two weeks, everything appears to be in the favour of Millwall. Robins will feel that his Coventry side can only improve on the Bristol City game, but Millwall should have more in their legs to come through with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.03%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawCoventry City
41.03% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 29.99% (0.0030000000000001 0) 28.99% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 40.95% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.07% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)65.93% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.46% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)84.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (0.0039999999999907 0)31.7% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.12% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)40.04% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)76.69% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 41.03%
    Coventry City 28.98%
    Draw 29.98%
MillwallDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 14.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67%
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.98%
0-1 @ 11.61%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 28.98%

How you voted: Millwall vs Coventry

Millwall
68.3%
Draw
17.1%
Coventry City
14.6%
41
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Coventry
6-1
Millwall
Shipley (16'), McFadzean (45'), Hyam (59'), O'Hare (62'), James (67'), Walker (84')
McFadzean (81')
McFadzean (54' og.)
McNamara (6'), Evans (45'), Woods (69')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Millwall
1-2
Coventry
Wallace (74' pen.)
Woods (45+1'), Wallace (60')
Wallace (90+2')
Cooper (20' og.), Hamer (26')
Skiri Oestigaard (90+1')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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