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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Coventry City

Millwall
3 - 2
Coventry

Cooper (36'), Honeyman (53'), Saville (85')
Shackleton (18'), Burey (30'), Afobe (62'), McNamara (68')
FT(HT: 1-2)
McFadzean (2'), Godden (28')
Hamer (37'), Bidwell (64'), McFadzean (82')
Hamer (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Millwall 2-1 Coventry City

Given their respective schedules over the past two weeks, everything appears to be in the favour of Millwall. Robins will feel that his Coventry side can only improve on the Bristol City game, but Millwall should have more in their legs to come through with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.03%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawCoventry City
41.03% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 29.99% (0.0030000000000001 0) 28.99% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 40.95% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.07% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)65.93% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.46% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)84.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (0.0039999999999907 0)31.7% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.12% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)40.04% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)76.69% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 41.03%
    Coventry City 28.98%
    Draw 29.98%
MillwallDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 14.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67%
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.98%
0-1 @ 11.61%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 28.98%

How you voted: Millwall vs Coventry

Millwall
68.3%
Draw
17.1%
Coventry City
14.6%
41
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Coventry
6-1
Millwall
Shipley (16'), McFadzean (45'), Hyam (59'), O'Hare (62'), James (67'), Walker (84')
McFadzean (81')
McFadzean (54' og.)
McNamara (6'), Evans (45'), Woods (69')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Millwall
1-2
Coventry
Wallace (74' pen.)
Woods (45+1'), Wallace (60')
Wallace (90+2')
Cooper (20' og.), Hamer (26')
Skiri Oestigaard (90+1')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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