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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Luton Town

Plymouth
3 - 1
Luton

Hajal (8'), Cissoko (69', 90+3')
Randell (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moses (71')
Adebayo (15'), Walters (83'), Burke (87'), Clark (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Luton Town

With Plymouth seemingly improving under Rooney, we cannot rule them out of securing maximum points from this contest. On the flip side, Luton are seemingly building some momentum, leading us to back a hard-earned victory for Edwards' men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLuton Town
35.97% (0.117 0.12) 24.18% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 39.85% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 60.66% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.13% (0.107 0.11)41.86% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73% (0.107 0.11)64.27% (-0.107 -0.11)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (0.113 0.11)23.09% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (0.163 0.16)56.93% (-0.162 -0.16)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)53.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 35.97%
    Luton Town 39.85%
    Draw 24.17%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.97%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.88% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.89% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 39.85%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Luton

Plymouth Argyle
25.2%
Draw
15.9%
Luton Town
58.9%
151
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Plymouth
0-0
Luton
Carey (29'), Edwards (42'), Canavan (62'), Fox (80')
Hylton (30'), Shinnie (74')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Luton
5-1
Plymouth
Collins (12', 45' pen., 77'), Lee (23'), Justin (29')
Grant (89')
O'Keefe (52'), Carey (73')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
Plymouth
0-3
Luton

Miller (45')
Hylton (50'), Marriott (69'), Smith (96')
Hylton (26'), Ruddock (55'), Potts (71'), McGeehan (98')
Potts (89')
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Luton

Purrington (86')
Marriott (27')
Smith (59'), McGeehan (77'), Rea (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds24156344152951
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd24156333141949
3Burnley2413923092148
4Sunderland24128436211544
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2311572721638
6Middlesbrough24107741311037
7Watford2311483331237
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2481242819936
9Swansea CitySwansea249692925433
10Bristol City248973028233
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds249693236-433
12Norwich CityNorwich247984036430
13Millwall237882220229
14Preston North EndPreston2461172630-429
15Coventry CityCoventry2477103234-228
16Derby CountyDerby2476112930-127
17Queens Park RangersQPR2451182432-826
18Stoke CityStoke2467112432-825
19Luton TownLuton2474132641-1525
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2366112639-1324
21Hull City2457122232-1022
22Cardiff CityCardiff2356122338-1521
23Portsmouth2248102640-1420
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2346132251-2918


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