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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
QPR logo

Luton
1 - 2
QPR

Dunne (18' og.)
Chong (2'), Doughty (48'), Clark (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Madsen (59'), Frey (62')
Cook (30'), Field (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Luton (4-1 pen.)
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

Luton will welcome the opportunity to return back to Kenilworth Road given their recent schedule and we feel that it could prove pivotal to the end result. QPR will pose a threat against the Hatters, yet the home side could come through with a hard-fought win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
35.8% (0.233 0.23) 26.1% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 38.09% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 53.83% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.34% (0.104 0.1)50.66% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (0.091999999999999 0.09)72.56% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (0.188 0.19)27.28% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (0.246 0.25)62.71% (-0.25 -0.25)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)25.97% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)60.98% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 35.8%
    Queens Park Rangers 38.09%
    Draw 26.1%
Luton TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.98% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 35.8%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.09%

How you voted: Luton vs QPR

Luton Town
62.6%
Draw
14.2%
Queens Park Rangers
23.2%
155
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2024 7.45pm
Second Round
QPR
1-1
Luton
(Aggregate 1-1 | QPR win 4-1 on penalties)
Santos (11')
Santos (33'), Colback (49'), Celar (84')
Nelson (16')
Walters (40'), Morris (72')
Dec 29, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 25
QPR
0-3
Luton
Morris (10', 47'), Doughty (81')
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
QPR
Adebayo (18'), Dunne (77' og.), Freeman (90+3')
Horvath (90+1' og.)
Mar 13, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 37
Luton
1-2
QPR
Jerome (37')
Gray (55' pen.), Dickie (83')
Chair (45+4'), Amos (87'), Wallace (90+5')
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
QPR
2-0
Luton
Willock (10'), Austin (55')
Dozzell (59'), Austin (75'), Dickie (90')

Lansbury (13'), Bradley (54'), Adebayo (57')
rhs 2.0
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