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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Birmingham logo

QPR
2 - 1
Birmingham

Cook (65'), Dunne (90+2')
Hayden (58'), Colback (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bacuna (62')
Laird (47'), Roberts (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 QPR
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Watford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Birmingham City

 With a different manager at the helm on an interim basis, Birmingham may respond in a positive manner after a number of defeats. Nevertheless, we can only back QPR to end their only winless streak, potentially courtesy of a late goal at Loftus Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
46.6% (-0.262 -0.26) 25.42% (0.026 0.03) 27.97% (0.235 0.23)
Both teams to score 53% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7% (0.023 0.02)72.3% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)21.61% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.28% (-0.163 -0.16)54.72% (0.162 0.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62% (0.19499999999999 0.19)32.38% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (0.219 0.22)68.89% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 46.6%
    Birmingham City 27.97%
    Draw 25.42%
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 46.6%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.97%

How you voted: QPR vs Birmingham

Queens Park Rangers
66.7%
Draw
26.2%
Birmingham City
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Birmingham
0-0
QPR
Bacuna (54'), Sanderson (67'), Stansfield (90')
Field (45'), Smyth (61')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
QPR
0-1
Birmingham
Chong (3')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 18
Birmingham
2-0
QPR
Trusty (4'), Longelo (29')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 26
Birmingham
1-2
QPR
Aneke (75')
Sunjic (88')
Adomah (14'), Willock (71')
Dickie (59'), Amos (74'), Field (88')
> Preview
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
QPR
2-0
Birmingham
Chair (34', 64')
Dozzell (54')

Sunjic (86')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland301610445261958
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425
> Championship Full Table


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