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Championship | Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Middlesbrough

FT(HT: 0-1)
McGree (17')
Howson (23'), Latte Lath (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Middlesbrough

Birmingham are in desperate need of three points, and we reckon that a fired-up atmosphere at St Andrew's could help the hosts to victory. Middlesbrough have been impressive in recent matches, but another match on the road in the space of four days might prove too much for Carrick's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawMiddlesbrough
33.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.59% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 41.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (0.055 0.05)44.31% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (0.053999999999995 0.05)66.69% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.022999999999996 0.02)25.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.53% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.033000000000001 0.03)21.2% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91% (0.048999999999999 0.05)54.09% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 33.48%
    Middlesbrough 41.93%
    Draw 24.59%
Birmingham CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.81%
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.48%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 8.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 41.93%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Middlesbrough

Birmingham City
39.3%
Draw
16.2%
Middlesbrough
44.4%
117
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Middlesbrough
1-0
Birmingham
Rogers (88')
Crooks (26'), Engel (30'), Hackney (58')

Bielik (40'), Ruddy (45+4'), Longelo (71')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Birmingham
1-3
Middlesbrough
Chong (74')
Crooks (57', 59'), Akpom (85')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Birmingham
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pedersen (40'), Hernandez (80')
Pedersen (86')
Connolly (23'), Balogun (62')
Crooks (90')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
0-2
Birmingham
Roberts (53'), Hogan (56')
Sanderson (19'), Gardner (45+1'), McGree (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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