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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Birmingham logo

QPR
0 - 1
Birmingham


Field (22'), Amos (56'), Armstrong (90+6'), Johansen (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chong (3')
Ruddy (78'), Trusty (81'), Long (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Blackpool 6-1 QPR
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Watford 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Birmingham City

 QPR fans will be demanding a massive response following Tuesday's disastrous showing against Blackpool, knowing that one more win will probably be enough to secure their Championship safety. Birmingham come into this game knowing a victory for them will likely do the same, and we expect a hard-fought contest at Loftus Road on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
41.29% (-0.648 -0.65) 27.23% (-0.184 -0.18) 31.48% (0.832 0.83)
Both teams to score 49.33% (0.855 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03% (0.937 0.94)55.97% (-0.938 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.93% (0.757 0.76)77.07% (-0.756 -0.76)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (0.085999999999999 0.09)26.68% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.114 0.11)61.94% (-0.112 -0.11)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (1.089 1.09)32.72% (-1.088 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.73% (1.198 1.2)69.28% (-1.197 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 41.29%
    Birmingham City 31.48%
    Draw 27.22%
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.29%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 9.75% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.184 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.145 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.48%

How you voted: QPR vs Birmingham

Queens Park Rangers
59.5%
Draw
27.0%
Birmingham City
13.5%
37
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
Birmingham
2-0
QPR
Trusty (4'), Longelo (29')
Mejbri (7')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Birmingham
1-2
QPR
Aneke (75')
Sunjic (88')
Adomah (14'), Willock (71')
Dickie (59'), Amos (74'), Field (88')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
QPR
2-0
Birmingham
Chair (34', 64')
Dozzell (54')

Sunjic (86')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-1
QPR
Pedersen (82'), Halilovic (85')
Pedersen (52'), Halilovic (86'), Roberts (90+6')
Austin (44')
Willock (13'), Bonne (73')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
QPR
0-0
Birmingham

Dickie (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920
> Championship Full Table


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