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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 19, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park
Coventry City

Derby
1 - 1
Coventry

Lawrence (66' pen.)
Byrne (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Godden (28')
Bidwell (22'), Dabo (54'), Hamer (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 1-2 Coventry City

With a draw doing neither side any good, we expect both clubs to push hard for all three points at the weekend. However, with the home side under the greater pressure, that may benefit Coventry, who we are backing to claim a late win at Pride Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawCoventry City
40.23%27.13%32.64%
Both teams to score 49.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.68%55.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47%76.53%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04%26.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71%62.29%
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42%31.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02%67.98%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 40.22%
    Coventry City 32.64%
    Draw 27.13%
Derby CountyDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 11.15%
2-1 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.22%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.51%
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.81%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.64%

How you voted: Derby vs Coventry

Derby County
41.5%
Draw
18.9%
Coventry City
39.6%
53
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 12.30pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Coventry
1-1
Derby
Godden (20' pen.)
Maatsen (44')
Shinnie (78')
Davies (71'), Morrison (88')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Coventry
1-0
Derby
Biamou (11')
Hamer (30'), McCallum (89')

Clarke (9'), Buchanan (37'), Knight (49'), Kazim-Richards (57')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Derby
1-1
Coventry
Kazim-Richards (83')
Kazim-Richards (11'), Holmes (63'), Bielik (68'), Clarke (87')
Hamer (90+1')
O'Hare (73')
Jul 25, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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