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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Reading had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Bristol City |
36.36% ( 0.15) | 27.16% ( -0.02) | 36.47% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 50.4% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.98% ( 0.08) | 55.01% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.71% ( 0.07) | 76.28% ( -0.07) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.95% ( 0.13) | 29.04% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.05% ( 0.16) | 64.95% ( -0.16) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.02% ( -0.04) | 28.97% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.13% ( -0.05) | 64.86% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.36% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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