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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
QPR logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
QPR

Wells (61')
Williams (53'), Massengo (76'), Scott (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Johansen (19'), T (22')
Amos (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Queens Park Rangers

Although QPR had been building a head of steam before the international break, it remains to be seen how they will react to the enforced break. For us, it can only have helped Bristol City, leading to us to back a low-scoring draw at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 37%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
36.68% (-0.445 -0.45) 26.31% (-0.129 -0.13) 37% (0.57100000000001 0.57)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.433 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.49% (0.546 0.55)51.51% (-0.548 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.69% (0.473 0.47)73.31% (-0.477 -0.48)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (0.00099999999999056 0)27.17% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (0.0020000000000024 0)62.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (0.59100000000001 0.59)26.98% (-0.594 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (0.767 0.77)62.33% (-0.77099999999999 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 36.68%
    Queens Park Rangers 37%
    Draw 26.31%
Bristol CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.211 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.68%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.095999999999998 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.29% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 37%

How you voted: Bristol City vs QPR

Bristol City
31.4%
Draw
28.6%
Queens Park Rangers
40.0%
35
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-2
QPR
Scott (3')
King (45+3'), Weimann (67')
King (56')
Austin (45+3' pen.), Barbet (90+3')
Dunne (22'), Dykes (65'), Field (74')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
QPR
1-2
Bristol City
McCallum (54')
Gray (51'), Barbet (79'), Ball (85'), Johansen (89')
Martin (45'), Wells (90+2')
Bakinson (53')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
0-2
QPR

Lansbury (85'), Diedhiou (88')
Chair (11'), Dickie (22')
Kakay (71'), Dickie (74'), Ball (76')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
QPR
1-2
Bristol City
Dickie (12')
Dickie (27'), Carroll (69')
Wells (40'), Nagy (50')
Wells (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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