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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Norwich City |
29.92% ( -0.16) | 24.88% ( 0.05) | 45.2% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 56.02% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.02% ( -0.32) | 46.98% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.77% ( -0.3) | 69.23% ( 0.3) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.77% ( -0.27) | 29.23% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.82% ( -0.34) | 65.18% ( 0.34) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% ( -0.08) | 20.84% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.48% ( -0.13) | 53.52% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.92% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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