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Championship | Gameweek 19
Nov 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Rotherham logo

Burnley
3 - 2
Rotherham

Rodriguez (35'), Benson (90+1'), Dervisoglu (90+10')
Maatsen (89'), Brownhill (89'), Beyer (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wiles (3'), Ogbene (64')
Bramall (68'), Barlaser (90'), Wiles (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 3-0 Rotherham United

Burnley should be able to continue their impressive recent form with a fairly routine win against Rotherham United. The Millers have shipped too many goals in recent matches against weaker sides than Burnley, and we expect the Clarets to put a few past them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawRotherham United
66.96% (4.369 4.37) 20.41% (-1.589 -1.59) 12.63% (-2.775 -2.78)
Both teams to score 43.88% (-2.232 -2.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (0.873 0.87)49.82% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (0.774 0.77)71.82% (-0.77000000000001 -0.77)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (1.67 1.67)13.98% (-1.666 -1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.52% (3.189 3.19)41.48% (-3.185 -3.19)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.01% (-3.652 -3.65)48.99% (3.656 3.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.05% (-2.747 -2.75)83.95% (2.75 2.75)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 66.95%
    Rotherham United 12.63%
    Draw 20.41%
BurnleyDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.47% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 13.25% (1.05 1.05)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 8.7% (1.15 1.15)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.235 0.24)
4-0 @ 4.28% (0.778 0.78)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.284 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.148 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.68% (0.386 0.39)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.175 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 66.95%
1-1 @ 9.61% (-0.786 -0.79)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.444 -0.44)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.41%
0-1 @ 4.89% (-0.725 -0.73)
1-2 @ 3.43% (-0.687 -0.69)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.476 -0.48)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 12.63%

How you voted: Burnley vs Rotherham

Burnley
85.3%
Draw
11.0%
Rotherham United
3.7%
109
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Rotherham
Vokes (27' pen.), Arfield (86')
Gray (64'), Mee (68')

Burke (20'), Smallwood (85')
Mar 12, 2005 3pm
Burnley
2-1
Rotherham
Sinclair (14'), Grant (11')
Gilchrist (4')
Aug 10, 2004 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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