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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Rotherham United |
50.02% ( -0.22) | 25.12% ( -0.02) | 24.86% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 51.33% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.71% ( 0.28) | 51.29% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.88% ( 0.24) | 73.12% ( -0.24) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.48% ( 0.02) | 20.52% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.98% ( 0.03) | 53.01% ( -0.03) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.58% ( 0.36) | 35.41% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.83% ( 0.38) | 72.17% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 50.01% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 1% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 24.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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