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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
QPR logo

Rotherham
3 - 1
QPR

Hugill (15', 70' pen.), Odofin (90')
Hugill (34'), Harding (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lowe (83' pen.)
Adomah (42'), Field (49'), Dickie (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Rotherham
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-3 Blackburn
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

QPR are lacking any real confidence and missing several key players, and even though Ainsworth will hope to lift his new side with a much-needed result, we see them falling short away at a Rotherham side who have impressed in South Yorkshire this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
38.35% (0.26 0.26) 27.08% (-0.129 -0.13) 34.56% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 50.52% (0.381 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19% (0.489 0.49)54.81% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89% (0.402 0.4)76.12% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (0.383 0.38)27.77% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65% (0.487 0.49)63.35% (-0.488 -0.49)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94% (0.15899999999999 0.16)30.06% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (0.191 0.19)66.19% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 38.35%
    Queens Park Rangers 34.56%
    Draw 27.08%
Rotherham UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 38.35%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 10.03% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 34.56%

How you voted: Rotherham vs QPR

Rotherham United
60.0%
Draw
35.0%
Queens Park Rangers
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
QPR
1-1
Rotherham
Willock (43')
Dickie (29'), Dozzell (64'), Field (74')
Ogbene (33')
Humphreys (64'), Johansson (90+5')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
QPR
1-1
Rotherham
QPR win 8-7 on penalties
Dykes (115')
Johansen (16')
Ihiekwe (98')
Lindsay (99'), Harding (110')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Rotherham
3-1
QPR
Ladapo (64', 66'), Smith (90')
MacDonald (38'), MacDonald (41'), Smith (70'), Wood (75')
Dykes (52')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
QPR
3-2
Rotherham
Chair (20'), Osayi-Samuel (45+1'), Dykes (45+3' pen.)
Smith (38'), Ladapo (84')
Wiles (45+2'), Ihiekwe (80'), Crooks (90+1')
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
QPR
1-2
Rotherham
Osayi-Samuel (85')
Bidwell (43'), Furlong (94')
Ajayi (71', 95')
Mattock (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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