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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 68.15%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 12.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Rotherham United |
68.15% ( 0.2) | 19.04% ( -0.02) | 12.81% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 48.7% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.4% ( -0.31) | 43.6% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34% ( -0.3) | 65.99% ( 0.3) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.24% ( -0.03) | 11.76% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.07% ( -0.07) | 36.93% ( 0.07) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.19% ( -0.47) | 44.81% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.22% ( -0.38) | 80.78% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Rotherham United |
2-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.46% Total : 68.14% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.83% Total : 19.04% | 0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.23% Total : 12.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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