We said: Swansea City 2-0 Reading
Considering Swansea's strong home record and Reading's away woes, the Welsh side are clear favourites for this game. The Swans also have a fully-fit squad to choose from while the Royals are still missing several key players, so we think Russell Martin's side should pick up the three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.