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Championship | Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Middlesbrough logo

Watford
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough

Although Middlesbrough recorded their first win of the season on Saturday, we think that a Watford side who have won two of their three home games this term will edge out Boro in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
37.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 26.87% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 35.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.3% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.13% (0.010000000000005 0.01)53.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)75.33% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)27.8% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (0.012 0.01)63.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17%64.83%
Score Analysis
    Watford 37.52%
    Middlesbrough 35.61%
    Draw 26.87%
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.52%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.98% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.61%

How you voted: Watford vs Middlesbrough

Watford
69.2%
Draw
17.3%
Middlesbrough
13.5%
52
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Sep 11, 2020 7.45pm
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Oct 16, 2016 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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