Shandong

4 - 2

Changchun

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 14.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.