MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:34:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 13
Jun 29, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Shandong
4 - 1
Changchun

Crysan (5'), Binbin (12'), Chen (61'), Fernandinho (86')
Tong (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Okore (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Chinese Super League clash between Shandong Taishan and Changchun Yatai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shandong Taishan

All competitions
Last Game: Shandong 2-2 Chengdu Qianbao
Tuesday, August 8 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Changchun 4-1 Shenzhen
Thursday, June 8 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Shandong Taishan 2-1 Changchun Yatai

 The ineligibility of Souza against his parent club could be the decisive factor in this match, with the free-scoring visitors likely to be blunted by his absence. Only three teams have conceded fewer goals than Shandong so far this season, and we can envisage them frustrating Changchun on the way to a crucial victory, which would see them leapfrog their opponents in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 79.05%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 7.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.29%) and 1-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.58%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shandong TaishanDrawChangchun Yatai
79.05% (0.755 0.75) 13.83% (-0.241 -0.24) 7.12% (-0.5161 -0.52)
Both teams to score 44.49% (-1.873 -1.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.12% (-0.91999999999999 -0.92)36.88% (0.919 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.94% (-1.006 -1.01)59.06% (1.005 1.01)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.56% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)7.44% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.23% (-0.12 -0.12)26.77% (0.118 0.12)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.07% (-2 -2)51.93% (1.998 2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.04% (-1.351 -1.35)85.96% (1.35 1.35)
Score Analysis
    Shandong Taishan 79.03%
    Changchun Yatai 7.12%
    Draw 13.83%
Shandong TaishanDrawChangchun Yatai
2-0 @ 13.04% (0.52 0.52)
3-0 @ 11.29% (0.42 0.42)
1-0 @ 10.03% (0.415 0.41)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 7.4% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-0 @ 7.34% (0.259 0.26)
4-1 @ 4.81% (-0.108 -0.11)
5-0 @ 3.81% (0.126 0.13)
5-1 @ 2.5% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.197 -0.2)
6-0 @ 1.65% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.132 -0.13)
6-1 @ 1.08% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 79.03%
1-1 @ 6.58% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.86% (0.171 0.17)
2-2 @ 2.8% (-0.22 -0.22)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 13.83%
0-1 @ 2.53% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.16% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 7.12%

How you voted: Shandong vs Changchun

Shandong Taishan
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Changchun Yatai
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jul 6, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Changchun
1-2
Shandong
Negrao (19')
Liao (45'), Pengfei (52')
Crysan (15'), Chen (87')
Crysan (30'), Jin (77')
> Preview
Jun 16, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Shandong
4-0
Changchun
Liu (38' og.), Jin (55'), Moises (57', 77')
Jin (50')

Negrao (25')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2022 7.30am
Gameweek 22
Changchun
1-1
Shandong
Li (26')
Okore (30')
Delgado (67')
Wang (82')
Dec 22, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 18
Shandong
2-1
Changchun
Delgado (78'), Guo (90+1')
Moises (21'), Jadson (29')
Lima (51')
Li (21'), Tudi (26'), Lima (35'), Qi (44')
Nov 2, 2018 11.35am
Gameweek 28
Shandong
2-0
Changchun
Yang (36'), Gil (42')
Haibin (90')

Xiaodong (19'), Tiancheng (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422
> Chinese Super League Full Table


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