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AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Feb 20, 2024 at 8am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
2 - 4
Shandong

Miura (30'), Erison (59')
Marcinho (69')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Crysan (8', 73'), Zhunyi (25'), Jadson (90+7')
Wenneng (15'), Zheng (40'), Kang-Hee (60'), Crysan (90')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Shandong Taishan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shandong 2-3 Kawasaki
Tuesday, February 13 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Shandong Taishan

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shandong 2-3 Kawasaki
Tuesday, February 13 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawShandong Taishan
39.68% (-0.227 -0.23) 23.7% (0.035 0.04) 36.62% (0.188 0.19)
Both teams to score 62.55% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.56% (-0.154 -0.15)39.43% (0.15199999999999 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.22% (-0.161 -0.16)61.77% (0.157 0.16)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)20.16% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55% (-0.275 -0.27)52.45% (0.271 0.27)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (0.025000000000006 0.03)21.64% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23% (0.040999999999997 0.04)54.77% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 39.68%
    Shandong Taishan 36.62%
    Draw 23.69%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawShandong Taishan
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 39.68%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.36% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.68% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.11% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.025 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28%
0-4 @ 1% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.62%

Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 10am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Shandong
2-3
Kawasaki
Fernandinho (67'), Jadson (85')
Xinli (35'), Zhunyi (52')
Erison (28' pen.), Marcinho (33'), Ienaga (79')
Erison (31'), Segawa (59'), Tanabe (90+1'), Ienaga (90+8')
rhs 2.0
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