Chinese Super League | Gameweek 16
Jul 11, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium
We said: Shandong Taishan 2-1 Shanghai Shenhua
Shandong Taishan and Shanghai Shenhua head into round 16 of the Super League as two of the most in-form sides in the division and we anticipate an action-packed contest on Tuesday. Choi's side have been near impenetrable at home this season and we fancy them picking up a narrow victory in front of their home supporters.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 58.42% . A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 17.57% .
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.45%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%) , while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 0-1 (6.69%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
Result Shandong Taishan Draw Shanghai Shenhua 58.42% ( 0.44) 24.01% ( -0.02) 17.57% ( -0.42)
Both teams to score 44.74% ( -0.67)
45.09% ( -0.5) 54.91% ( 0.49)
23.8% ( -0.41) 76.2% ( 0.41)
81.39% ( -0.03) 18.61% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 50.09% ( -0.04) 49.9% ( 0.03)
54.97% ( -0.81) 45.02% ( 0.81)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 19.05% ( -0.66) 80.95% ( 0.65)
Shandong Taishan 58.4%
Shanghai Shenhua 17.57%
Draw 24%
Shandong Taishan Draw Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 @ 14.08% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 58.4% 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.61% Total : 24% 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.54% Total : 17.57%
How you voted: Shandong vs Sh. Shenhua
Shandong Taishan
Draw
Shanghai Shenhua
11
rhs 2.0
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