MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 00:51:40| >> :60:1213:1213:
Cuba national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Sep 12, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Antonio Manuel Berruezo
Suriname national football team

Cuba
1 - 0
Suriname

Pozo-Venta (20')
Matos (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vlijter (40'), Abena (57'), te Vrede (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Cuba and Suriname, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Haiti 0-0 Cuba
Friday, September 8 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Grenada 1-1 Suriname
Saturday, September 9 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Cuba 0-0 Suriname

We anticipate the Cubans will adopt a similar passive approach like we saw them employ in their opening encounter, and we do not believe either side have enough quality to make their chances count. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Suriname had a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Suriname win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cuba in this match.

Result
CubaDrawSuriname
63.91% (-0.271 -0.27) 20.98% (0.124 0.12) 15.1% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 48.49% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.89% (-0.255 -0.25)47.11% (0.248 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (-0.238 -0.24)69.34% (0.22999999999999 0.23)
Cuba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.95% (-0.166 -0.17)14.05% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.38% (-0.32 -0.32)41.61% (0.315 0.31)
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.41% (0.045999999999999 0.05)43.58% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.22% (0.036999999999999 0.04)79.78% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cuba 63.9%
    Suriname 15.1%
    Draw 20.98%
CubaDrawSuriname
1-0 @ 12.01% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.72% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.79% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 63.9%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 20.98%
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.14% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.11% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 15.1%

How you voted: Cuba vs Suriname

Cuba
27.3%
Draw
36.4%
Suriname
36.4%
11
rhs 2.0
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