MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 10:52:47| >> :600:48114020:48114020:
Guatemala national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 1.45am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Cuba national football team

Guatemala
1 - 0
Cuba

Lom (48')
Samayoa (44'), Ardon (75'), Saravia (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Paradela (31'), Perez (56'), Hernandez (64'), Piedra (85'), Cavafe (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Guatemala and Cuba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Guatemala
Sunday, June 18 at 9.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Uruguay 2-0 Cuba
Wednesday, June 21 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

We said: Guatemala 0-0 Cuba

These two sides are well drilled and built to defend, while they both excel along the backline, but they are each a little thin regarding chance creators. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
GuatemalaDrawCuba
67.27% (0.114 0.11) 19.79% (-0.061 -0.06) 12.94% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.66% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46% (0.136 0.14)46.54% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (0.127 0.13)68.81% (-0.126 -0.13)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.13% (0.076999999999998 0.08)12.87% (-0.074 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.74% (0.15199999999999 0.15)39.26% (-0.149 -0.15)
Cuba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.56%46.44% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.94% (0.0019999999999989 0)82.06%
Score Analysis
    Guatemala 67.26%
    Cuba 12.94%
    Draw 19.79%
GuatemalaDrawCuba
2-0 @ 12.56%
1-0 @ 12.25% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 8.59% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.4% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.38% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.8% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 67.26%
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 19.79%
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.61% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95%
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 12.94%

How you voted: Guatemala vs Cuba

Guatemala
73.3%
Draw
13.3%
Cuba
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2022 12am
International Friendly
Guatemala
1-0
Cuba
Mejia (30')
Jimenez (79')
Mar 25, 2021 12am
First Round
Guatemala
1-0
Cuba
Martinez (59')
Yanes (25')

Piedra (78')
Espino (61')
Aug 16, 2018 1am
International Friendlies
Guatemala
3-0
Cuba
Marquez (9'), Guerra (55'), Ceballos (83' pen.)
Jul 15, 2015 11pm
Group Stage
Cuba
1-0
Guatemala
Reyes (73')
Napoles (15'), Reyes (75'), Gomez (87')

Vasquez (45'), Morales (63')
rhs 2.0
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