MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 07:48:52| >> :60:1426:1426:
Panama national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Semi-Finals
Jun 16, 2023 at 12am UK
Allianz Stadium
Canada national football team

Panama
0 - 2
Canada


Blackman (41'), Carrasquilla (62'), Godoy (89')
Davis (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
David (25'), Davies (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Panama and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 3-2 Nicaragua
Sunday, June 11 at 1am in International Friendlies
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Canada 4-1 Honduras
Wednesday, March 29 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Panama 0-3 Canada

Panama will fight hard to defy the odds in Nevada on Thursday, but Canada boast far more quality all over the pitch, and we can only envisage them progressing to the final with a dominant victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Panama had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
PanamaDrawCanada
34.27% (0.237 0.24) 28.71% (-0.208 -0.21) 37.01% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.62% (0.60899999999999 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.11% (0.73399999999999 0.73)60.89% (-0.733 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.09% (0.548 0.55)80.91% (-0.547 -0.55)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66% (0.54600000000001 0.55)33.34% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04% (0.594 0.59)69.96% (-0.593 -0.59)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44% (0.358 0.36)31.56% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.41 0.41)67.95% (-0.40899999999999 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Panama 34.27%
    Canada 37.01%
    Draw 28.71%
PanamaDrawCanada
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.32% (0.088 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.27%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.52% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.71%
0-1 @ 12.13% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 37.01%

How you voted: Panama vs Canada

Panama
15.7%
Draw
5.9%
Canada
78.4%
51
Head to Head
Jun 6, 2022 12am
International Friendly
Canada
0-0
Panama
Mar 31, 2022 2.05am
Third Round
Panama
1-0
Canada
Torres (49')
Davis (15'), Martinez (47'), Cummings (57'), Carrasquilla (89'), Luis Rodriguez (90+5'), Mejia (90+7')

Cavallini (16'), Osorio (89')
Oct 14, 2021 12.30am
Third Round
Canada
4-1
Panama
Murillo (28' og.), Davies (66'), Buchanan (71'), David (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!